The BAU scenario was under the assumption that there was no emphasis on the climate and energy policies. It was also under the assumption that the policies and measures that were in place continued to be implemented. This meant that the additional policies that might be implemented from the year 2003 in order to meet the Kyoto Protocol targets were also not emphasized.

Thus, there was no concern about the rising energy prices and the limitation of the resources. This scenario was based purely on the data and the assumptions that had been enlisted in the most recent energy projections for Europe (Mantzos et al., 2003). Its main purpose was to act as a reference to the P&M scenario.

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